On 12th July, 2019, we carried an article about Omnia. The essence of that article was that Omnia was a large blue chip chemicals company which had dominant positions in agriculture, chemicals and explosives throughout Africa.
This company took a significant risk by buying two companies, Umongo Petroleum and Oro Agri for around R2bn – which over-extended its balance sheet, loading it with excessive debt. To bring its debt levels down, the company was forced to conduct a rights issue of 100m shares at R20 a share – substantially below the price that the share was trading for at the time in the market (which was closer to R30).
Now consider the chart:
Omnia (OMN) January to August 2019 – Chart by ShareFriend Pro
Our article was published on 12th July 2019 when Omnia’s share price was R30. In that article we advised investors to consider buying when the price broke above the long-term downward trendline – or alternatively above the 65-day exponentially smoothed moving average (for the more risk-averse).
The break above that trendline occurred on 7th August 2019 when the share closed at R32.93 and the buy signal on the 65-day Exponential came on 28th August 2019 when the share closed at R41.20. So the gain for those who bought on the break above the trendline is now 28,5% – made in just 3 weeks (which equates to about 490% per annum!)
We believe that Omnia should continue to perform well as it beds down its new acquisitions and as the economies of the countries it operates in improve.
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