The Prosus Winner

18 May 2020 By PDSNET

It has been well said that no matter what happens in the world or in South Africa, there is always a way to make money from it in the share market - it is just a matter of seeing where the opportunity lies.

The advent of the coronavirus in late January this year, while it was a world-wide human and economic catastrophe, presented just such an opportunity. The contagion forced a sea-change in behaviour patterns world-wide requiring people to stay at home for an extended period of time. In this process, companies and individuals have been learning to work and play from their homes.

Some businesses like the airlines industry, tourism and restaurants have been virtually destroyed by COVID19, but others like online gaming have flourished.

On 29th January 2020, we published an article about the impact of the coronavirus on world markets. In that article we said, "In our view, this correction has the potential to become a buying opportunity - especially for shares like Prosus have taken a sharp fall". We suggested that you should watch Prosus and the S&P500 index to find the best buying opportunity. Since then (29th January 2020) Prosus has risen by 50% in under four months. Consider the chart:

Prosus (PRX) January to May 2020 - Chart by ShareFriend Pro

Prosus, through its ownership of 31% of the social networking and gaming giant, Tencent, has benefited from a massive increase in online gaming. National lockdowns all over the world have created a huge market for internet-based home entertainment and social media. Among its various internet-based offerings, Prosus has a share in the blockbuster game, Fortnite, which now has more than 350 million users world-wide. And that is just one of its many online products.

After the virus has run its course, we believe that consumers will remain wary of going out to restaurants and entertainment where large groups are gathered into confined spaces - like the theatre or stadium sports events. We see a semi-permanent shift towards online gaming and other online activities. This means that a share like Prosus should continue to benefit in the future.

Prosus also has the significant advantage of being a rand-hedge which for South African private investors is a major consideration.  


DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.



Share this article:

PDSNET ARTICLES

Bitcoin's Collapse

We have said previously that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin cannot be assessed using fundamental analysis – because they have no fundamentals. They have no balance sheet or income statement, and they generate no income for investors. For this reason, they can only be assessed technically - by looking at the charts.

Speculative Opportunity

PDSnet is mainly concerned with teaching private investors about investment and medium to long-term opportunities on the JSE. The foundation of this approach is that South African tax law treats any gain on a share held for longer than 3 years as a capital gain. In other words, holding a share for more than 3 years means that the investor will not be treated as

Scary Government Debt

Just like a household or an individual, a country’s government goes into debt because it spends more than it receives in taxes and other revenue. The important difference, of course, is that governments (unlike households or individuals) can actually create money out of nothing to finance their deficit if they choose to. This is known as quantitative easing (Q/E).

Correction

On the 10th of July 2024, we tweeted (on “X”) that “...some sort of correction is looking more and more likely.” Four trading days later on the 16th of July 2024, The S&P500 index reached its highest point (5667.2) and began that correction. So far, the S&P has fallen 8,5%. Consider the chart:

WeBuyCars - Follow-up

WeBuyCars (WBC) was spun out of Transaction Capital (TCP) and separately listed on the JSE on 11th April 2024 – just over three months ago. Before the listing we published an article on the 8th of April 2024, in which we suggested that the share would be a solid blue-chip

Bell Equipment

We are often asked what prompts us to add a share to the Winning Shares List. The answer is that it is a variety of factors – but usually because the share appears to be very cheap in relation to its fundamentals. In other words, we expect it to be upwardly re-rated as its fundamental value becomes recognised by the institutional fund managers. A

JSE All Time Record High

On Friday last week, the 12th of July 2024, the JSE Overall index closed at 81686 – an all-time record high. Consider the chart:

The chart shows that the Overall

Construction

The entire construction industry was decimated by the 2008 sub-prime crisis, the ANC under Jaco Zuma’s presidency and then finally by the pandemic in 2020. Hundreds of thousands of jobs were lost and massive companies like M&R were reduced to penny stocks on the JSE.

The JSE Construction and Materials Index (JS5011)

Murray & Roberts

A company’s debt is critical in establishing the risk inherent when investing in its shares. High debt levels expose the company to high interest and capital payments and can swallow up a large part of whatever profits it makes. Low debt levels give the company the headroom to invest in further growth either organically

Mr Price

Mr Price is a well-known and focused retailer of clothing in South Africa. It is a quintessentially South African company, and its performance is a direct reflection of the state of the economy and the level of consumer spending. It is an extremely well-managed company in a very tough and competitive market. Clothing is sold by many dedicated outlets in South Africa and almost