Imperial Logistics

11 May 2020 By PDSNET

Imperial (IPL) is a large international logistics company with 27 000 employees operating in 32 countries mainly in Africa and Europe. In is involved in transport, warehousing and international freight management. It is the largest logistics supplier in South Africa. The company is involved in five key areas - automotive, chemicals, consumer, healthcare and industrial.

The company recently split off and separately listed Motus (MTH) on the JSE in an effort to release shareholder value and focus more on its core businesses. It has also sold off its European shipping business for a net R3,6bn which has given it the cash that it needs to pursue its main objective which is to expand into Africa.

The company has not been greatly impacted by the COVID19 pandemic because its services are considered to be essential in most of the countries where it operates.

The company gets about 75% of its income from South Africa and the balance from the rest of Africa. It has identified the rest of Africa as a key opportunity and is intent on increasing that side of its business. Outside of those countries like Nigeria which supply oil, Africa has not been hugely impacted by COVID19 and should recover relatively quickly especially once a vaccine is developed.

Like most shares on the JSE, Imperial took a hit in March and April 2020 as a result of lockdowns especially here in South Africa. Consider the chart:

Imperial Logistics (IPL) December 2019 to May 2020 - Chart by ShareFriend Pro

Here you can see the downward trend caused by the pandemic which was followed by a double bottom and a clear upside breakout. We regard this share as extremely well-managed and a company that has not been greatly impacted by the pandemic. It should recover quickly because it has plenty of cash to take advantage of cheap acquisitions in the wake of the crisis. It also has a growing rand hedge component as its business expands in Africa.

The share is trading on a dividend yield of 5,2% which will makes it attractive to institutions once COVID19 is substantially behind us. We see this as a good opportunity for private investors.  


DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.



Share this article:

PDSNET ARTICLES

Bitcoin versus Gold

Cryptocurrencies cannot really be considered an investment because they have no fundamentals. Their value is derived exclusively from the belief of the people who invest in them. When belief in Bitcoin is strong the price rises and when it is weak, the price falls.

Bitcoin cannot be regarded as a “safe haven” asset

Uncertainty

Most investors would probably agree that there is a considerable amount of uncertainty in equity markets at the moment. From a fundamental perspective, that uncertainty has come about because of:

  1. The force with which the central banks of the world (especially the US Fed) will “stamp on the brakes” to reduce

Powells Punch

In November last year we wrote the following about the U.S. economy in the Confidential Report:

…what if the Fed is wrong about inflation and it persists at the current high levels or even increases? September was the 5th month where inflation was above 5%. If they are wrong, then they will need to raise interest

Lewis

Nineteen months ago on 2nd of September 2020 in the Confidential Report, we recommended buying Lewis shares when they were trading for just 1668c. The share has now moved up to 4670c – a gain of 180%. Amazingly, it remains excellent value today despite this substantial rise in its price.

The company has 817 stores with 84%

Linear vs Semi Log

Most charts of share prices or indexes that you will come across are linear. The date is measured on X-Axis (horizontal) and the price or index level is measured on the Y-Axis (vertical). For short term charts linear scales are fine, but the longer your chart, the more misleading a linear chart becomes, especially for data streams which generally increase over

Remgro

In recent times there has been a trend for investment holding companies to unbundle their assets into the hands of shareholders, thus releasing substantial value. The shares of investment holding companies traditionally trade at a significant discount to the market value of the assets which they hold, and this provides them with an opportunity to

Gold

Throughout history, in times of war or major crisis, investors have always sought a safe haven for their wealth. And that safe haven has inevitably been gold. The various assets available for investment can be arranged in order from the highest return and most risky to the lowest return and least risky. On that scale, gold is on the one extreme –

Buying Opportunity

Investors don’t like uncertainty, but investment is about predicting the future and, of course, that is all about assessing the impact of an array of uncertainties. As an investor you have to use your analysis, experience and understanding to reduce the level of uncertainty to an acceptable place.

Uncertainty is reflected in volatility.

Inflation

There can be little doubt now that inflation world-wide is gaining momentum. America recorded 7,5% in January 2022 and Europe had inflation of 5,1% in January 2022 which is expected to rise to 5,8% in February. If that happens it will the first time for many decades that I can recall inflation being higher in both Europe and America than it is here in South Africa.

Ukraine

When you buy shares, you are immediately in the business of forecasting the future. You believe that the shares you have bought will go up. If you thought that they were going down, you wouldn’t have bought them. Your prediction that the share will go up can be divided into two primary areas – the prediction that the share market as a whole will rise (systematic)