Our Club Portfolio

6 September 2021 By PDSNET

Last year, on the 14th December 2020  we wrote an article about our Investment Club software and our in-house company portfolio which we run on that software. As we said in that article, running this portfolio has proved to be a highly motivating exercise for our staff. The diagram below shows where we were on 11th December 2020 and compares it to where we were on Friday last week (3rd September 2021):

       11th Dec 2020         3rd Sep 2021    
  Number Price   Value   Number Price Value   Percent
  of shares Rands Rands    of shares Rands Rands   Gain/-Loss
Capitec 7 1403.32 9823.2   7 1839.96 12879.7   31.11
Transcap 430 23.62 10156.6   430 37.66 16193.8   59.44
Prosus 11 1700.12 18701   11 1309.53 14404.8   -29.82
Clicks 46 241.75 11120.5   87 301.66 26244.4   24.78
Afrimat 260 44.2 11492   260 55.42 14409.2   25.38

 

PDSnet Investment Club:  Summary of Portfolio Holdings - 11 December 2020 - 3rd September 2021.

Since 14 December last year, there has been just one change to the portfolio, when the Clicks share price fell at the beginning of 2021, we decided to take advantage of the situation and bought an additional 41 shares – which brought our average cost for Clicks down.

Aside from this one change, the portfolio has remained the same.

Capitec has appreciated sharply as that company increased its market share and continued to grow rapidly. Our investment has grown by 31% since December last year and is now up over 100% since we first acquired the shares. Capitec has been a been a remarkable investment since it was listed in 2002 growing a hundred-fold from 180c to R1800 per share. Consider the chart:

 

Capitec (CPI): October 2020 - 3 September 2021. Chart by ShareFriend Pro

Transaction Capital is up almost 60% over the 10 months since December 2020 and we believe it will continue to grow. Its two primary businesses - mini-bus taxis and buying up debtors’ books - are both likely to continue benefiting from the conditions that prevail in South Africa. The company is very well run and conservatively managed.

Prosus has fallen out of favour with institutional investors since we bought our shares mainly because of the clamp-down by Chinese authorities on the business of Tencent and also because of the recent highly complex transaction that Prosus executed with its parent company Naspers. We think that both of these negatives will cease to impact the share price in time and that Prosus will continue to release shareholder value and benefits from its acquisitions (like the recent acquisition of BillDesk in India). It is our intention to buy more Prosus shares when we have sufficient funds so as to bring our average cost down.

We regard Clicks as an iconic share which should be accumulated on any weakness and should be a part of any portfolio. The company has proved that it is almost immune to national calamities like the pandemic and the civil unrest of July. We were happy to buy more of these shares at the lower prices which prevailed in March this year. We regard it as a highly defensive and conservatively managed growth share that will continue to expand its store base and grow steadily.

Afrimat is somewhat risky because it is exposed to commodity prices, but the company has executed an amazing transition from being a construction company to being a producer of base metals and minerals. Other construction companies, like Aveng and Murray & Roberts,  were gutted by the destruction of the construction industry following the 2010 World Cup. Afrimat has managed to completely re-invent itself showing remarkable perspicacity and management acumen.

You can see that our approach is typical Warren Buffett. We try to find high-quality blue-chip shares and buy them when they are out of favour with the big institutions. We are not in any sense traders, we are investors. Like Buffett, when one of our shares falls, we celebrate because that enables us to buy more at lower prices and bring our average cost down. We did that with Clicks, and we are about to do it with Prosus.

Overall, the portfolio is up just over 40% since its inception and the whole process of running an investment club has become highly motivating for our staff.

 




DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.



Share this article:

PDSNET ARTICLES

WeBuyCars

In a few days’ time, Transaction Capital (TCP) will unbundle and separately list its second-hand car sales company, WeBuyCars (WBC). The main benefit of this is to release the value of WBC into the hands of its shareholders. When the listing is complete, on 11th April 2024, WBC will have a total of 417,2m shares in issue which are expected to

Gold and Harmony

In our last Confidential Report, published on 6th March 2024, we drew your attention to the fact that the US dollar price of gold was about to break up through a critical resistance level at $2060. Gold has now moved up to $2166 so this observation provided an opportunity for private investors to make a significant capital gain, either in actual gold

Reverse Takeover

At the end of October 2023, Mix Telematics (MIX) was a relatively small fleet management company with a market capitalisation of just R2,3bn listed on both the JSE and the American NASDAQ. Its shares on the JSE were wallowing at a low of 380c. This compares with its competitor, Karoo (KRO), also listed on the JSE, but which was at the time, more

Rare Opportunity

You may not have been aware of it, but last week, between Monday and Friday, there was an opportunity to make an 80% profit on your capital. This opportunity occurred because of insider trading on a little known and traded share called Quantum Foods (QFH) in the poultry and animal feeds business.

Generally, the poultry business is

Excessive Bullishness

On Friday last week, the S&P500 index posted yet another new record closing high, but this time just one point higher than the previous day at 5088. This means that the index, which measures the progress of the 500 largest companies on Wall Street, has been climbing without a significant correction for nearly four months. Consider the chart:

Lessons from Transcap

As a private investor it is very important that you study what has happened in the past and learn from it. The progress of Transaction Capital (TCP) has provided us with an excellent opportunity to examine and learn from a complete cycle in an institutional favourite share. We can examine the entire cycle and see how to profit from it. In this regard, it is important

Sasol

Sasol is a company originally established in September 1950 by the National Party, to counter the possibility of petrochemical sanctions against the old South Africa. Essentially, Sasol used South Africa’s enormous coal reserves to generate about one third of its fuel requirements. Subsequently, Sasol became involved in the chemical industry which now accounts for about

4Sight

The world has, in the last twenty years, entered what has been characterised as the 4th Industrial Revolution (4IR). It has been described as “... the biggest structural change of the past 250 years — a transformation of scale, scope and complexity unlike anything humankind has experienced before.” In simpler terms, 4IR refers to the digital convergence of

The Great Bull Resumes

On the 12th of June 2023, we published an article, headed "Bull Trend?". In that article we suggested that, after a 25% correction, the great bull market on the S&P500 which began in March 2009 was still intact and would, in time break to a new all-time record high, above the high