Cartrack Vs Mix Telematics

22 April 2020 By PDSNET

Two of the most interesting companies listed on the JSE are Cartrack (CTK) and Mix Telematics (MIX). Both companies are involved in providing remote fleet and asset management systems. Both companies started in South Africa recovering stolen vehicles and both have spread across the world expanding their client base and broadening their product options.

As listed shares, both companies have the distinct advantage that the majority of their income takes the form of annuity income. They also service companies with almost no working capital - which means that their income is fairly secure, even in these difficult times. They also both offer a rand-hedge element.

A comparative relative strength chart of Cartrack against Mix Telematics shows the following:

Comparative Relative Strength Cartrack (CTK) and Mix Telematics (MIX) January 2016 to April 2020 - Chart by ShareFriend Pro

As you can see here, in 2016 to 2018, Mix Telematics was out-performing Cartrack consistently, but since then Cartrack has been doing better.

This is also reflected in the two companies' P:E ratios. Mix Telematics is on a price:earnings ratio (P:E) of 15,98 while Cartrack is on a P:E of over 60.

As a private investor this situation should raise some questions. Why do investors favour Cartrack so much more than Mix Telematics? Is there an opportunity here?

Mix Telematics claims 817000 subscribers with 87% of its income in subscriptions (i.e. annuity income) and an EBITDA margin of 30%.

Cartrack claims 1039000 subscribers with 96% of its income in subscriptions and an EBITDA margin of 51%.

Cartrack trades an average of 24% more in rands per day than Mix Telematics - which perhaps shows that Cartrack is more favoured by institutional investors. Both companies have more than enough liquidity in their shares for private investors.

On paper, Cartrack is out-performing Mix Telematics by a healthy margin although both companies are growing rapidly.

Perhaps the best method of seeing which company offers the best value right now is to look at their price:earnings growth ratios (PEG).

Table Comparing the PEG ratio of Cartrack and Mix Telematics from 2015 to 2019

The table above shows the percentage in earnings per share (EPS) of the two companies going back to 2015 and then uses that to calculate their respective PEG ratios.

Surprisingly, Cartrack's average growth in earnings over that 5-year period (15,75%) is noticeably less than Mix Telematics's (20,54%) - a fact which is clearly not reflected in their share prices.

This leaves Cartrack with a PEG of 0,26 while Mixtel has a PEG of 1,29 (if you are not sure about PEG ratios, go to Module 10: P:E and EPS as a Measure of Share Value).

This shows that Mix Telematics offers far more value that Cartrack at current prices and Cartrack looks distinctly over-priced.

Of course, that does not necessarily mean that Mix Telematics shares will do better in the future - but it is certainly a starting point for investigation.  

 


DISCLAIMER

All information and data contained within the PDSnet Articles is for informational purposes only. PDSnet makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information, and shall not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. Information in the PDSnet Articles are based on the author’s opinion and experience and should not be considered professional financial investment advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Thoughts and opinions will also change from time to time as more information is accumulated. PDSnet reserves the right to delete any comment or opinion for any reason.



Share this article:

PDSNET ARTICLES - APRIL 2020

Security and Bitcoin

In times of crisis, investors typically abandon their search for a return on their capital and look instead for security.
Equity shares, especially in an emerging economy like South Africa are seen as being high-risk, high-return assets.
International investors are attracted to our government bonds and stocks because they see a high real return (after-inflation). The risk of investing

Cartrack Vs Mix Telematics

Two of the most interesting companies listed on the JSE are Cartrack (CTK) and Mix Telematics (MIX). Both companies are involved in providing remote fleet and asset management systems. Both companies started in South Africa recovering stolen vehicles and both have spread across the world expanding their client base and broadening their product options.
As listed shares, both companies have the distinct advantage

Recovery

In our article ("Bear Trend") on 13th March 2020 we said, "this bear trend is likely to be relatively short and sharp. Investors will begin to see that the virus has or is running its course in first world countries and, at some point in the next few months, they will re-enter the market as aggressive bargain-hunters. So, our expectation is that we will see a "V-bottom"

SA might be saved from Covid19

The advent of COVID19 may seem like an unmitigated disaster to private investors, but there a few reasons for us to have some hope.
The first is that our relatively warm weather is on our side. Apparently, this virus is happiest at around 3 degrees centigrade - which means that it thrives in the Northern hemisphere where that type of temperature is common during the winter. Here in South Africa, temperatures can fall that