Market View
J200 112,878.00 +0.28% J203 120,989.00 +0.34% J210 139,440.00 -0.32% J211 131,034.00 +0.30% J212 26,665.00 +0.90% J213 144,653.00 +0.62%
Winning Shares (Top 5)
Code Name Added Price Latest % Gain % Gain/Year
SUR SPURCORP 2023-08-08 2488 3802 +52.81% +20.89%
ADH ADVTECH 2023-08-14 1975 3979 +101.47% +40.39%
CGR CALGRO-M3 2023-08-15 356 530 +48.88% +19.48%
CAA CA-SALES 2023-08-25 775 1490 +92.26% +37.17%
CPI CAPITEC 2023-11-04 185496 467474 +152.01% +66.45%
Opinions (Top 5)
Code Name Date Action
TKG TELKOM 2026-02-17 View

Historically, Telkom (TKG) was the government-controlled provider of fixed line telephone connectivity in South Africa. With the advent of cell phones, Telkom was forced to subsidise the development of its own competition in the form of Vodacom, MTN and more recently Cell-C. This subsidy takes the form of termination rates for calls which are now being phased out.

Over the past twenty years, the CEO of Telkom, Sipho Maseko, says that Telkom has effectively subsidised other networks to the tune of R70bn. Telkom is currently listed and is owned 41% by the government and 11,9% by the Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF) - so it could still be considered to be government-controlled.

In reality, it operates as an independent organisation divided into 5 divisions. (1) Open Serve is South Africa's primary supplier of wholesale connectivity with the country's largest network. (2) Telkom Consumer is the largest supplier of broad-band internet connectivity with a growing mobile phone network.

(3) Yellow Pages provides advertising and marketing to local businesses. (4) BCX is an ICT solutions company operating in Southern Africa. (5) Swiftnet" was formed in April 2018 to house Telkom's masts, towers, and property interests. Swiftnet owns a diverse portfolio of 1330 properties and has 40 ear-marked for development.

Of course, Telkom is impacted by the ruling of the Independent Communications Authority of South Africa's (ICASA) decisions regarding the so-called "inter-connect" fees. However, in our opinion, Telkom has been well managed, and its downsizing should result in improved profitability going forward.

This company is steadily switching from fixed-line to mobile. On 22nd March 2024 the company announced that they had sold Swiftnet for R6,75bn to a consortium of investors. The cash will be used to reduce Telkom's debt. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2025 the company reported revenue up 3,4% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 16,4%.

The company said, "Adjusted H1 FY2025 (prior period) financial measures exclude the impact of the R160 million restructuring cost, and the Telkom Retirement Fund derecognition loss of R618 million in continuing operations." In a trading update for the 3 months to 31st December 2025 the company reported data revenue up 9,6% with mobile service revenue up 7,2%. The company said, "Mobile subscribers exceeded 25 million.

Mobile data subscribers increased by 29.3% to 19.3 million, due to tailored value-focused plans. Fibre connectivity rate robust at 52.4% and homes connected increased to 786 490". Technically, Telkom's share fell from highs of around R98 in June 2019 to levels around R15.00 in March 2020.

It has now entered a new upward trend and it was added to the Winning Shares List (WSL) on 16th November 2024 at 2884c. It has since risen to 5922c. The latest results and the special dividend from the sale of Swiftnet have boosted the share's price. In our view, this company is battling to find a new direction in a recovering economy and against stiff competition, but the latest results are positive.

BTI BATS 2026-02-17 View

British American Tobacco (BTI) describes itself as a "leading consumer goods company" - which is a euphemistic way of saying that they produce and sell an enormous number of cigarettes and related products world-wide. It is also the second largest company on the JSE after Naspers.

In recent decades, cigarette companies have become increasingly oppressed. Their ability to advertise their products and even package them has been severely curtailed in many countries. They are seen to be exploiting an addiction which is clearly anti-social and very bad for the individual's health, and which regularly involves them in lawsuits for damages.

BAT owns well-known brands like Camel, Peter Stuyvesant, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Dunhill, Pall Mall, Kent and Lucky Strike. In an effort to get away from the negative perceptions of cigarettes, the company has diversified into "new category" products such as vaping and electronic cigarette markets which it claims offers it a long-term prospect for growth.

Recently, especially in the United States, these products have also come under the spotlight for health reasons leading to a drop-off in sales. As an investment, the company offers some attractions. Roughly 20% of the world's population still smoke - making a truly massive market.

Setting aside our distaste for the business which BAT conducts, the share looks like very good value at current levels. This is one of the shares that has performed well and perhaps even benefited from COVID-19. The CEO says that he aims to double non-combustible sales by the 2023/24 year.

It is interesting that BAT considers South Africa's illegal cigarette market to be the largest in the world. On 6th December 2023, Business Day reported that BAT had impaired its US operations by GBP25bn (R595bn) leading to a drop of 10% in the BTI share price. In its results for the year to 31st December 2025 the company reported a R305m impairment as a result of its decision to close its production facility in Heidelberg in South Africa.

BAT estimates that the sale of illegal cigarettes in South Africa is costing the fiscus about R100m a day in lost rveneues. After moving sideways for several years the share has now begun to appreciate steadily and is approaching a new record high. We believe it will continue to perform well.

AFE AECI 2026-02-17 View

AECI (AFE) is a leading producer of chemicals and explosives in South Africa. It supplies products for the mining industry, water treatment, animal health, food and beverages, and the industrial sector. It has businesses in Australia, North America, Europe, Asia, and Africa and employs 7600 people in 22 countries.

AECI also has a property division called "Acacia". This company has successfully diversified away from its exposure to South Africa (40% of total revenue) and shown its ability to make acquisitions which boost turnover and profits. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2025 the company reported revenue from continuing operations down 2% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 132%.

Net debt has dropped from over R5bn to R2,9bn. The company said, "Overall, AECI Mining's international operations delivered improved performance compared to the period ended 30 June 2024 (the prior period), despite the South African-based operations being affected by challenging operating conditions and supplier headwinds." In a trading statement for the year to 31st December 2025 the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 43% and 58%.

The company said, "The improvement in HEPS reflects higher underlying profitability and excludes the impact of impairments recognised in determining EPS from continuing operations". The share is on a P:E of 9,86 and a dividend yield (DY) of 2,44%. Technically, the share has been in a long-term sideways pattern for at least ten years.

It needs to break above resistance at R118 per share for a new upward trend to be confirmed - but it is showing signs of doing that.

KAP KAP 2026-02-16 View

KAP International Holdings (KAP) is a diversified industrial company which produces and markets timber, chemicals (PET and related chemicals), bedding and car parts. It also has a logistics division. The acquisitions of Safripol and Hosaf were integrated into a polymers business under the Safripol name.

The bedding division showed strong growth with new investment in infrastructure and manufacturing capability. Growth in the automotive parts division was muted. This company was 43% owned by Steinhoff - which has now divested completely. The renewal of the government's Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP) until 2035 will be a boost for KAP's parts manufacturing business.

The timber division is ramping up after the lockdown and demand for its products has remained buoyant. The automotive components division was severely impacted, and the post-lockdown recommencement has been slow. The bedding division was able to operate through the lockdown with strong demand for medical and agricultural needs.

Polymers also operated throughout the lockdown. In a report on 20th April 2022 into the flooding in Natal the company said, "The Company’s operations in the region have experienced some temporary operational and supply chain disruptions, which are in the process of being resolved." In its results for the year to 30th June 2025 the company reported revenue up 2% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 47%.

In an operational update for the five months to 30th November 2025 the company reported, "...increased operating costs related to the start-up and ramp-up of PG Bison's new medium-density fibreboard ('MDF') line; higher finance costs, which were capitalised during the construction phase of the group's major capital projects completed during the year ended 30 June 2024 ('FY24'), including the new MDF line; and lower vehicle production by two major original equipment manufacturers ('OEMs'), which mostly resulted in a weaker performance by Feltex".

In a trading statement the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 28% and 35% six months to 31st December 2025. The company said this was due to, "...meaningful improvements in the performances of PG Bison and Feltex, due to increased production and sales volumes, and higher domestic new vehicle assembly volumes, respectively; and lower net finance costs, owing to lower interest rates and net interest-bearing debt".

Technically, the share has been falling since September 2024 and we recommend waiting for it to break up through its downward trendline before investigating further. It has now broken up out of an "island formation" and has entered a new upward trend. Obviously, the logistics problems at Transnet have been having an impact.

We think it may represent good value at current levels, but it is volatile.

MST MUSTEK 2026-02-16 View

Mustek (MST) is South Africa's largest assembler of personal computers under its brand name Mercer. It also imports a variety of computer products such as Samsung, Acer and Microsoft. The company consistently trades well below its net asset value (NAV). The company is beginning to benefit from its fibre-to-the-home activities and selling additional hardware as a result.

The CEO, David Kan, is very excited about the exploitation of the fibre-to-the-home market. He says there can be exponential growth of as much as 500% in their sales of cables for this market. There is a possibility that the company will also benefit from remote education and work-from-home following COVID-19.

Mustek is well-positioned to exploit this through its existing products. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2025 the company reported revenue down 14,9% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 8,3%. The company's net asset value (NAV) rose 2,4% to 2869,7c per share.

The company said, "We are encouraged by the current year improvement in working capital, net finance costs and cash generated from operations, which is a result of our efforts to enhance liquidity and strengthen our financial position despite the difficult trading conditions." In a trading statement for the six months to 31st December the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 250% and 270%.

The company said, "The improvement in the Group's performance compared to H1 FY25 was driven mainly by a material reduction in finance costs and a more favourable foreign exchange impact". The share seems cheap to us at current levels.  

Winning Share: SUR
Opinion: KAP
Hudaco Latest Financials  (2026-02-16)

In their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025 Hudaco describes itself as “...a South African group specialising in the importation and distribution of a broad range of high-quality, branded automotive, industrial and electronic consumable products, mainly in the southern African…

In their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025 Hudaco describes itself as “...a South African group specialising in the importation and distribution of a broad range of high-quality, branded automotive, industrial and electronic consumable products, mainly in the southern African region”.

It has long been one of our favourite shares on the JSE and we have written two articles extolling its virtues the first on the 7th February 2021 and the next on the 14th of February 2022. It is essentially an investment in the growth prospects of the South African economy. It is not a dramatic performer, but rather a company that is growing steadily both organically and through careful bolt-on acquisitions.

It is well worth taking the time to read their latest financials for the year to 30th November 2025. The fundamentals revealed in their figures should make any investor in their shares feel happy.

Their turnover for the year increased by 4,4% - which is barely above the inflation rate but still shows growth in real terms. What is impressive, however, is that out of that turnover, they managed to increase their operating profit by 8,9% and their headline earnings per share by 15,7% - and this is after taking a R104m goodwill impairment. Their return on equity (ROE) for the whole group was 17% and would have been 19,5% without the impairment. This shows that they kept costs tightly controlled while improving efficiencies across the board – in other words, that they have excellent management.

During the year the company made two acquisitions – Isotec and Flosolve – both of which have now been integrated into the business. Their results are only included for six and seven months respectively – so we can expect them to have a much greater impact on the current year’s results.

Consider the chart:

Hudaco (HDC) : October 2020 - 13th of February 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The chart shows that following COVID-19, Hudaco reached a low point of 5616c on 25th May 2020. Since then it has been rising steadily. We wrote about it in our article on 7th February 2021 by which time the share has reached 10046c and then again, a year later, on 14th February 2022 when it was at 15762c. Since then, the share has climbed to 20680c and looks poised to go higher.

This business supplies a variety of products to the mining industry and so is benefiting indirectly from the rising prices of platinum group metals (PGM), gold and copper. They are also benefiting from the on-going reduction of interest rates and the falling cost of petrol in South Africa which directly impact on the profits of their customers.  

The current price/earnings ratio (P:E) is only 8.9 which is roughly half of the JSE’s average P:E of 16,8. This shows that its value is not yet fully appreciated by institutional investors.  With an average daily volume traded of more than R3,5m, Hudaco is certainly more than adequate for private investor requirements and can now accommodate small institutional investments comfortably.

We expect this share to continue to grow, especially considering its proven track record of conservative and effective management combined with its policy of making regular bolt-on acquisitions. If you are positive about the prospects of the South African economy in the medium term, then this share is well worth your consideration.

Datatec  (2026-02-09)

Many private investors shy away from IT shares because they can be difficult to understand. Their business models are often highly complex making it problematic to accurately assess their fundamental risk. Datatec is an international IT and telecommunications company with operations in more than 50…

Many private investors shy away from IT shares because they can be difficult to understand.  Their business models are often highly complex making it problematic to accurately assess their fundamental risk. Datatec is an international IT and telecommunications company with operations in more than 50 countries world-wide which makes it even more challenging as an investment. My response to this type of complexity is to look at the results and the people involved.

In its results for the six months to 31st August 2025 the company reported gross invoiced income up 9,4% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 109,5%. Clearly, this company is growing its turnover while at the same time hugely improving its operational efficiency.

Because of its international footprint, Datatec offers the investor a rand-hedge. It is also obviously benefiting from the world-wide move towards artificial intelligence (AI). It makes a gross margin of 26.3% and its operating costs are coming down. By bringing down its net debt the company has reduced its finance costs by 27.1%. From an investor’s perspective this makes buying the shares far less risky. Companies with plenty of “headroom” have the cash to avoid problems and take advantage of opportunities.  

Its business is divided into three main divisions - technology distribution through Westcon International, integration and managed services through Logicalis, and consulting and financial services through Datatec Financial Services and Analysys Mason.

Consider the chart:

Datatec (DTC) : April 2023 - 6th of February 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The chart shows that Datatec had an extended period of sideways movement between April 2023 and October 2024. Then it began to move up strongly. We added it to the Winning Shares List (WSL) 26th October 2024 at a price of 3950c, when it began showing signs of structural improvement and it has since gone up to 7781 – a gain of 97% in 15 months. We believe it will continue to perform well as AI becomes more ubiquitous.

Jens Montanana is the CEO of Datatec and has been in that position since the company listed on the JSE more than thirty years ago. His drive and energy are what taken the company up to a market capitalisation of R12bn. Montanana says that “...the growth of interconnected digital communities and increased IT complexity drove infrastructure demand in networking and cybersecurity”. Now I will be first to admit that I do not understand the implications of that statement – but I know growth and financial stability when I see it.

The rapid rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has forced businesses to implement the technology within their operations if they are to remain competitive. Datatec is riding that wave.

Obviously, this is a company which is dominated by Montanana and that does make it vulnerable to his inevitable retirement at some stage. However, we believe that Datatec has built a very solid international; presence which will continue to provide it with growth opportunities in the future whoever is in charge.

It is not one of the fastest growing shares on the JSE, but it has been a very steady performer since we added it to the WSL.

 

Clicks Oversold  (2026-01-26)

Technical analysis is the study of investor perceptions as they are reflected in the price and volume patterns of a security. It is also true that shares move in cycles which take them from being overbought to being oversold and back again. This is especially true of the blue chip shares which are…

Technical analysis is the study of investor perceptions as they are reflected in the price and volume patterns of a security. It is also true that shares move in cycles which take them from being overbought to being oversold and back again. This is especially true of the blue chip shares which are heavily traded and patronised by the big institutions (pension funds, unit trusts and insurance companies).  The fund managers who manage the institutional portfolios account for about 90% of all trades on the JSE.

In our opinion, Clicks (CLS) is a high-quality share which should be part of every private investor’s portfolio. The problem is that it is generally very popular with the big institutions who are always buying it, which tends to make it very expensive – most of the time. But there are occasions when it goes out of fashion with the fund managers for some reason and at those moments it can represent excellent value and a great buying opportunity. In our opinion, right now is just such a moment.

A few days ago on 22nd January 2026, Clicks published a trading update for the 20 weeks up to 11th January 2026. In that update it said that group turnover was up 7,4% and that pharmacy sales had gained 9%. They also commented that they had record Black Friday sales and robust customer demand for their Christmas gift range.

Consider the diagram below.

Clicks (CSL) : February 2016 - 23rd of January 2026. Chart by ShareFriend Pro.

The top chart in the diagram below shows the share price of Clicks over the last ten years. The lower chart shows the 200-day overbought/oversold (OB/OS) of Clicks over the same period.

On the OB/OS I have drawn in a -10% buy line and you can see that over the ten-year period there have been just 5 occasions (the green arrows) on which the OB/OS has fallen below -10%. Then considering the top chart you can see that, on each of those occasions, Clicks represented an excellent buying opportunity (the red circles).

On Friday last week, the Clicks OB/OS ended the week at –10,64%. And you will observe that historically it generally does not spend a great deal of time below that minus 10% buy line. Inevitably, the fund managers become aware that it is heavily over-sold and begin buying it, driving the price up again.

Of course, the fact that Clicks is heavily oversold right now does not guarantee that it will not fall further and you should always maintain a stop-loss strategy. But, if you are buying, it does give you a good indication of your probability of being right. In my estimation, the share has spent about 2% of its time over the last ten years below that -10% buy line. That means that your statistical probability of being wrong in buying it at that level is therefore extremely low.

And you will have one great satisfaction – you are not buying it at +24% - but somebody did! Otherwise, the chart would not have gone there.  It is amazing to consider that, less than 4 months ago on 25th September 2025, there were institutional fund managers buying Clicks at an OB/OS level of over +24% (the red arrow). If you buy now at -10,64%, you are certainly doing a lot better than them!

JSE Top 40

112,878.00 (+0.28%)

All Share

120,989.00 (+0.34%)

Financial 15

26,665.00 (+0.90%)

J200
J203
J212
Top Gainers
# Code Name Close (c) % move
1 ACL ARCMITTAL 145 +9.85%
2 AFE AECI 10455 +8.19%
3 MTU MANTENGU 43 +7.50%
Top Losers
# Code Name Close (c) % move
1 HUG HUGE 116 -19.44%
2 LAB LABAT 7 -12.50%
3 MCZ MC-MINING 212 -7.83%

Top Movers – Charts

Top Gainer: ACL
Top Loser: HUG